Super Nova vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grobiņa travel to face Super Nova on Saturday 10 October in the Virsliga, with Jana Skredela stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ogre United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Grobiņa, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tukums, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Jul 2026) it ended Super Nova 2–0 Grobiņa. The last 3 head-to-heads: Super Nova 3 wins, Grobiņa 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.7 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.3 xG, Grobiņa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 44%, draw 24%, Grobiņa 32%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova44%fair 2.27 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Grobiņa32%fair 3.17 · @2.90
2.33Expected goals
1.29Super Nova xG
1.04Grobiņa xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.3 – 1.0 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grobiņa 32%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
Super Nova vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
