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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rīgas FS v FS Jelgava: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Bislett Stadium
4–2
FT
Rīgas FS 71%Draw 19%FS Jelgava 10% Expected goals 2.16 – 0.69
50%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultRīgas FS to win ✓71% · @1.14
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FS Jelgava travel to face Rīgas FS on Sunday 11 October in the Virsliga, with Bislett Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rīgas FS, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Auda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FS Jelgava, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Riga, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jul 2026) it ended FS Jelgava 0–1 Rīgas FS. The last 4 head-to-heads: Rīgas FS 4 wins, FS Jelgava 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.2 xG, FS Jelgava 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 71%, draw 19%, FS Jelgava 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 2–0 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rīgas FS71%fair 1.41 · @1.14
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @7.00
FS Jelgava10%fair 9.56 · @15.00
2.85Expected goals
2.16Rīgas FS xG
0.69FS Jelgava xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.2 – 0.7 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRīgas FS to win ✓71%1.411.14
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓90%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.65
Draw no betRīgas FS (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapRīgas FS -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreRīgas FS to score first ✗71%1.40–
Half-time resultRīgas FS ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS ✗47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Rīgas FS – last 6

DWDLWD
20 Sep@ Auda1–1D
13 Sep@ BFC Daugavpils2–1W
7 Sepvs FK Liepaja0–0D
3 Sepvs Riga2–3L
30 Aug@ Ogre United3–0W
23 Augvs Riga3–3D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FS Jelgava – last 6

LDLWWL
19 Sepvs Riga0–1L
12 Sep@ Grobiņa0–0D
5 Sepvs Super Nova0–1L
29 Aug@ Tukums4–1W
22 Aug@ Ogre United3–2W
9 Augvs Auda0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jul 2026FS Jelgava v Rīgas FS0–1
12 Jul 2026Rīgas FS v FS Jelgava2–0
21 May 2026Rīgas FS v FS Jelgava4–0
8 Apr 2026FS Jelgava v Rīgas FS0–1
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?

On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FS Jelgava 10%.

How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?

Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–0 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?

Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Bislett Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.