Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.50
Riga vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Riga v Super Nova in the Virsliga, played at Skonto stadions. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Riga, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kairat Almaty, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Super Nova, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Rīgas FS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Super Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Sep 2026) it ended Super Nova 0–1 Riga. The last 3 head-to-heads: Riga 3 wins, Super Nova 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Riga 2.4 xG, Super Nova 0.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 79%, draw 14%, Super Nova 7%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 2–0 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Riga79%fair 1.27 · @1.10
Draw14%fair 7.02 · @8.50
Super Nova7%fair 14.00 · @19.00
3.03Expected goals
2.45Riga xG
0.58Super Nova xG
49%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–012%
3–012%
2–18%
4–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Riga 2.4 – 0.6 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Riga vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Riga have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Super Nova 7%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs Super Nova?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Riga vs Super Nova?
Riga vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
