Super Nova vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rīgas FS travel to face Super Nova on Sunday 25 October in the Virsliga, with Olaines Pilsetas Stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 49 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Riga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rīgas FS, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tukums, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Super Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Oct 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 4–0 Super Nova. The last 3 head-to-heads: Super Nova 0 wins, Rīgas FS 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 0.7 xG, Rīgas FS 2.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 13%, draw 15%, Rīgas FS 72%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 2.00, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–2 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova13%fair 7.50 · @12.00
Draw15%fair 6.85 · @6.50
Rīgas FS72%fair 1.39 · @1.17
2.79Expected goals
0.70Super Nova xG
2.09Rīgas FS xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–113%
0–39%
1–29%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Super Nova 0.7 – 2.1 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Rīgas FS 72%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
Super Nova vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Olaines Pilsetas Stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
