FS Jelgava 17%Draw 21%BFC Daugavpils 62%Expected goals 0.76 – 1.76
62%
Betarazi pick
BFC Daugavpils to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Virsliga brings FS Jelgava against BFC Daugavpils at Olympic Sports Center of Zemgale. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FS Jelgava, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FK Liepaja, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Auda, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BFC Daugavpils, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for FS Jelgava.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 2–1 FS Jelgava. The last 3 head-to-heads: FS Jelgava 0 wins, BFC Daugavpils 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 0.8 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 17%, draw 21%, BFC Daugavpils 62%.
Lower-risk option: BFC Daugavpils or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was BFC Daugavpils to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 0–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FS Jelgava17%fair 5.97 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.75
BFC Daugavpils62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
2.52Expected goals
0.76FS Jelgava xG
1.76BFC Daugavpils xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 0.8 – 1.8 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is BFC Daugavpils to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BFC Daugavpils 62%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 0–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Sports Center of Zemgale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
