Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Super Nova welcome BFC Daugavpils to Slokas Stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Sunday 8 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with FK Liepaja, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tukums, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours BFC Daugavpils, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Super Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Super Nova 0–0 BFC Daugavpils. The last 3 head-to-heads: Super Nova 1 win, BFC Daugavpils 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 0.3 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.1 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 31%, draw 21%, BFC Daugavpils 47%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova31%fair 3.18 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
BFC Daugavpils47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
2.53Expected goals
1.10Super Nova xG
1.43BFC Daugavpils xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.1 – 1.4 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BFC Daugavpils 47%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
