Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win ✓52% · @2.30
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Mash'al vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv travel to face Mash'al on Thursday 5 March in the Super League, with Stadion Guzar the venue – the ball rolls at 15:15 WAT. In the table, Mash'al are 16th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 27 matches; Lokomotiv are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mash'al 1.0 xG, Lokomotiv 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mash'al 23%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv 52%.
Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv or draw (77%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lokomotiv or draw (77%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mash'al 1–2 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mash'al23%fair 4.31 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Lokomotiv52%fair 1.93 · @2.30
3.09Expected goals
1.03Mash'al xG
2.07Lokomotiv xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–110%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Mash'al 1.0 – 2.1 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✓
52%
1.93
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotiv or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Lokomotiv ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Mash'al
No recent results on record.
Lokomotiv – last 2
LL
17 Feb
vs Spaeri
1–3
L
16 Feb
@ KAMAZ
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mash'al and Lokomotiv.
Our pick is Lokomotiv or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Mash'al vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Mash'al have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lokomotiv 52%.
How many goals will there be in Mash'al vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mash'al vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Mash'al 1–2 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mash'al vs Lokomotiv?
Mash'al vs Lokomotiv (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Guzar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
