Navbahor v Buxoro Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNavbahor to win ✗57% · @1.75

Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✗82% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52

Navbahor vs Buxoro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Thursday 5 March: Navbahor v Buxoro in the Super League, played at Markaziy Stadium. In the table, Navbahor are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 27 matches; Buxoro are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Navbahor 1.7 xG, Buxoro 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Navbahor 57%, draw 25%, Buxoro 18%.
Lower-risk option: Navbahor or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navbahor 1–0 Buxoro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Navbahor57%fair 1.74 · @1.75

Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.00

Buxoro18%fair 5.68 · @4.50

2.50Expected goals

1.67Navbahor xG

0.84Buxoro xG

52%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–111%

2–011%

2–110%

0–08%

0–17%

From our goals model: Navbahor 1.7 – 0.8 Buxoro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Navbahor to win ✗	57%	1.74	1.75
Double chance	Navbahor or draw ✗	82%	1.21	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	1.95
Draw no bet	Navbahor (draw no bet) ✗	77%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Buxoro +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Navbahor to score first ✗	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor ✗	35%	2.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.52	–

Super League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	26	19	4	3	+38	61
2	Pakhtakor	27	17	8	2	+22	59
3	Navbahor	27	16	7	4	+21	55
4	Nasaf	27	12	9	6	+15	45
5	Olmaliq	27	13	6	8	+4	45
6	Lokomotiv	27	12	7	8	+10	43
7	Buxoro	27	12	6	9	+4	42
8	Dinamo Samarqand	27	10	7	10	+2	37
9	Qizilqum	27	10	5	12	-7	35
10	Surkhon	27	7	10	10	-9	31
11	Andijan	27	9	4	14	-6	31
12	Sogdiana	27	8	6	13	-9	30
13	Xorazm	27	6	8	13	-15	26
14	Bunyodkor	26	8	2	16	-16	26
15	Kokand-1912	27	5	9	13	-13	24
16	Mash'al	27	1	2	24	-41	5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Navbahor vs Buxoro?

Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Navbahor vs Buxoro?

On our numbers Navbahor have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Buxoro 18%.

How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Buxoro?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Buxoro?

Our predicted score is Navbahor 1–0 Buxoro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Navbahor vs Buxoro?

Navbahor vs Buxoro (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Navbahor v Buxoro: numbers & prediction

Navbahor

Buxoro

Navbahor to win