Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Pakhtakor vs Mash'al: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mash'al travel to face Pakhtakor on Monday 13 April in the Super League, with Pakhtakor Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Pakhtakor are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 27 matches; Mash'al are 16th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pakhtakor, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Neftchi, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Mash'al, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bunyodkor, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Mash'al.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 2.3 xG, Mash'al 0.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 79%, draw 15%, Mash'al 6%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 2–0 Mash'al. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pakhtakor79%fair 1.26 · @1.11
Draw15%fair 6.80 · @7.50
Mash'al6%fair 16.19 · @19.00
2.75Expected goals
2.27Pakhtakor xG
0.48Mash'al xG
45%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–017%
1–015%
3–013%
2–18%
4–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 2.3 – 0.5 Mash'al expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✓
79%
1.26
1.11
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.40
Draw no bet
Pakhtakor (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Pakhtakor -1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Pakhtakor to score first✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Pakhtakor ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
13%
7.98
–
Recent results
Pakhtakor – last 6
WWWLLW
9 Apr
@ Neftchi
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Olmaliq
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ Sogdiana
4–2
W
15 Mar
@ Neftchi
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Navbahor
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Kokand-1912
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mash'al – last 5
LLLLL
7 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Navbahor
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Andijan
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Qizilqum
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Mash'al.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Mash'al 6%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 2–0 Mash'al, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
Pakhtakor vs Mash'al (Super League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
