Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSogdiana to win ✓52% · @1.80
Double chanceSogdiana or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Sogdiana vs Xorazm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 16 July the Super League brings Sogdiana against Xorazm at Sogdiana Sport Complex. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Sogdiana are 12th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Xorazm are 13th (lower half) with 26.
Current form
Sogdiana, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Surkhon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Xorazm, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Andijan, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sogdiana 1.8 xG, Xorazm 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sogdiana 52%, draw 26%, Xorazm 22%.
Lower-risk option: Sogdiana or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sogdiana or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogdiana 1–1 Xorazm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sogdiana52%fair 1.93 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
Xorazm22%fair 4.48 · @4.00
2.96Expected goals
1.79Sogdiana xG
1.17Xorazm xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Sogdiana 1.8 – 1.2 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sogdiana to win✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Double chance
Sogdiana or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Sogdiana (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Xorazm +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Sogdiana to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sogdiana / FT Sogdiana✓
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Sogdiana – last 6
WDLWLD
28 Apr
vs Surkhon
5–2
W
23 Apr
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
2–3
L
13 Apr
@ Qizilqum
3–1
W
8 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Xorazm – last 6
LDLDDW
4 May
vs Andijan
0–3
L
29 Apr
@ Qizilqum
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Neftchi
0–2
L
14 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Dinamo Samarqand
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sogdiana and Xorazm.
Our pick is Sogdiana or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Sogdiana have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Xorazm 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sogdiana vs Xorazm?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Xorazm?
Our predicted score is Sogdiana 1–1 Xorazm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sogdiana vs Xorazm?
Sogdiana vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sogdiana Sport Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
