Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.49
Nasaf vs Qizilqum: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nasaf welcome Qizilqum to Markaziy Stadium for a Super League fixture on Tuesday 28 July (16:00 WAT). In the table, Nasaf are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 27 matches; Qizilqum are 9th (lower half) with 35.
Current form
Nasaf, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mash'al, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Qizilqum, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Navbahor, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nasaf 1.4 xG, Qizilqum 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nasaf 56%, draw 27%, Qizilqum 17%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nasaf to win (56%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nasaf 1–0 Qizilqum. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nasaf56%fair 1.78 · @1.57
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.30
Qizilqum17%fair 5.88 · @5.00
2.04Expected goals
1.41Nasaf xG
0.64Qizilqum xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–013%
2–013%
1–112%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nasaf 1.4 – 0.6 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasaf to win✓
56%
1.78
1.57
Double chance
Nasaf or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.70
Draw no bet
Nasaf (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Qizilqum +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Nasaf to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.49
–
Recent results
Nasaf – last 6
DWDDLD
22 Jul
@ Mash'al
1–1
D
16 Jul
@ Bunyodkor
3–1
W
4 May
vs Navbahor
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ Pakhtakor
2–2
D
23 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs Buxoro
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Qizilqum – last 6
DLLDWW
23 Jul
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
4 May
@ Lokomotiv
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Xorazm
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Surkhon
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nasaf and Qizilqum.
Our pick is Nasaf to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nasaf vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Qizilqum 17%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasaf vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Nasaf 1–0 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Nasaf vs Qizilqum?
Nasaf vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
