Neftchi vs Navbahor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Tuesday 28 July: Neftchi v Navbahor in the Super League, played at Istiqlol Stadium. In the table, Neftchi are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 26 matches; Navbahor are 3rd (among the top four) with 55.
Current form
Neftchi, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Sogdiana, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Navbahor, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Qizilqum, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Neftchi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Navbahor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi 1.7 xG, Navbahor 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi 49%, draw 24%, Navbahor 27%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi 1–1 Navbahor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi49%fair 2.04 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Navbahor27%fair 3.68 · @4.00
2.99Expected goals
1.66Neftchi xG
1.32Navbahor xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Neftchi 1.7 – 1.3 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi to win✗
49%
2.04
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Neftchi (draw no bet)
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Navbahor +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Neftchi to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Neftchi – last 6
WWLDWW
21 Jul
@ Sogdiana
5–1
W
16 Jul
vs Buxoro
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Zenit
1–4
L
3 May
@ Olmaliq
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
4–0
W
24 Apr
@ Xorazm
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Navbahor – last 6
DLDLDW
23 Jul
vs Qizilqum
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Olmaliq
2–3
L
4 May
@ Nasaf
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neftchi and Navbahor.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Neftchi vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Navbahor 27%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Navbahor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Neftchi 1–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Neftchi vs Navbahor?
Neftchi vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
