Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.39
Xorazm vs Surkhon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Xorazm welcome Surkhon to Xorazm Stadium for a Super League fixture on Tuesday 28 July (16:00 WAT). In the table, Xorazm are 13th, lower half, on 26 points after 27 matches; Surkhon are 10th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Xorazm, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pakhtakor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Surkhon, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Samarqand, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Surkhon, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Xorazm.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xorazm 1.0 xG, Surkhon 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xorazm 39%, draw 32%, Surkhon 30%.
Lower-risk option: Xorazm or draw (70%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Xorazm or draw (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xorazm 0–0 Surkhon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xorazm39%fair 2.58 · @2.00
Draw32%fair 3.17 · @2.90
Surkhon30%fair 3.37 · @3.50
1.85Expected goals
0.99Xorazm xG
0.86Surkhon xG
49%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–016%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Xorazm 1.0 – 0.9 Surkhon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xorazm to win✓
39%
2.58
2.00
Double chance
Xorazm or draw✓
70%
1.42
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Draw no bet
Xorazm (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Surkhon +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Xorazm to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.39
–
Recent results
Xorazm – last 6
LLLDLD
21 Jul
@ Pakhtakor
1–2
L
16 Jul
@ Sogdiana
0–2
L
4 May
vs Andijan
0–3
L
29 Apr
@ Qizilqum
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Neftchi
0–2
L
14 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Surkhon – last 6
LWLWLL
23 Jul
vs Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Andijan
2–1
W
28 Apr
@ Sogdiana
2–5
L
22 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Qizilqum
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Navbahor
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xorazm and Surkhon.
Our pick is Xorazm or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Xorazm vs Surkhon?
On our numbers Xorazm have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Surkhon 30%.
How many goals will there be in Xorazm vs Surkhon?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xorazm vs Surkhon?
Our predicted score is Xorazm 0–0 Surkhon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Xorazm vs Surkhon?
Xorazm vs Surkhon (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Xorazm Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
