Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Montedio Yamagata travel to face Tochigi SC on Sunday 15 February in the J2 League, with Kanseki Stadium Tochigi the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tochigi SC 1.3 xG, Montedio Yamagata 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tochigi SC 34%, draw 28%, Montedio Yamagata 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tochigi SC 1–1 Montedio Yamagata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tochigi SC34%fair 2.93 · @2.95
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.20
Montedio Yamagata38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
2.48Expected goals
1.27Tochigi SC xG
1.22Montedio Yamagata xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.3 – 1.2 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tochigi SC
Montedio Yamagata
Attack vs J2 League average
-8%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.10
0.91
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montedio Yamagata to win✓
38%
2.63
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Draw no bet
Montedio Yamagata (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Montedio Yamagata +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Tochigi SC to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tochigi SC / FT Tochigi SC✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.75
–
Recent results
Tochigi SC
No recent results on record.
Montedio Yamagata
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Montedio Yamagata.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Montedio Yamagata 38%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–1 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata?
Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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