Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sagan Tosu welcome Roasso Kumamoto to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 15 February (06:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sagan Tosu 1.7 xG, Roasso Kumamoto 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sagan Tosu 50%, draw 27%, Roasso Kumamoto 23%.
Lower-risk option: Sagan Tosu or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagan Tosu 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sagan Tosu50%fair 1.99 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.30
Roasso Kumamoto23%fair 4.44 · @3.80
2.79Expected goals
1.66Sagan Tosu xG
1.13Roasso Kumamoto xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.7 – 1.1 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sagan Tosu
Roasso Kumamoto
Attack vs J2 League average
-13%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.14
0.86
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Double chance
Sagan Tosu or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Draw no bet
Sagan Tosu (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Roasso Kumamoto +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Sagan Tosu to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Sagan Tosu
No recent results on record.
Roasso Kumamoto
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Roasso Kumamoto.
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Roasso Kumamoto 23%.
How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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