Tokushima Vortis v Albirex Niigata Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTokushima Vortis to win ✓42% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Tokushima Vortis v Albirex Niigata in the J2 League, played at Pocarisweat Stadium. In the table, Tokushima Vortis are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Albirex Niigata are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tokushima Vortis 1.4 xG, Albirex Niigata 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tokushima Vortis 42%, draw 27%, Albirex Niigata 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokushima Vortis 1–1 Albirex Niigata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tokushima Vortis42%fair 2.39 · @2.05

Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.20

Albirex Niigata31%fair 3.20 · @3.35

2.70Expected goals

1.43Tokushima Vortis xG

1.27Albirex Niigata xG

57%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–19%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Tokushima Vortis 1.4 – 1.3 Albirex Niigata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Tokushima Vortis	Albirex Niigata
Attack vs J2 League average	-19%	+12%
Goals conceded vs average	-15%	+4%
Our expected goals here	1.17	1.14

Tokushima Vortis

Albirex Niigata

Attack vs J2 League average

-19%

+12%

Goals conceded vs average

-15%

+4%

Our expected goals here

1.17

1.14

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tokushima Vortis to win ✓	42%	2.39	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.75	1.85 ▲
Draw no bet	Tokushima Vortis (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Albirex Niigata +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	75%	1.32	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	74%	1.35	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Tokushima Vortis to score first ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tokushima Vortis / FT Tokushima Vortis ✓	24%	4.20	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.48	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Tokushima Vortis to win ✓

42%

2.39

2.05

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

73%

1.37

1.28

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

57%

1.75

1.85 ▲

Draw no bet

Tokushima Vortis (draw no bet) ✓

57%

1.75

–

Asian handicap

Albirex Niigata +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

75%

1.32

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

71%

1.40

1.38

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

53%

1.89

1.65

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

74%

1.35

1.22

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

86%

1.16

–

First team to score

Tokushima Vortis to score first ✓

49%

2.03

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

42%

2.37

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Tokushima Vortis / FT Tokushima Vortis ✓

24%

4.20

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

11.48

–

Recent results

Head to head

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?

On our numbers Tokushima Vortis have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Albirex Niigata 31%.

How many goals will there be in Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?

Our predicted score is Tokushima Vortis 1–1 Albirex Niigata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?

Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pocarisweat Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tokushima Vortis v Albirex Niigata: numbers & prediction