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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oita Trinita v Kitakyushu: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Resonac Dome Oita
Oita Trinita 58%Draw 25%Kitakyushu 18% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.97
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOita Trinita to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceOita Trinita or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Oita Trinita welcome Kitakyushu to Resonac Dome Oita for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 15 February (06:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oita Trinita 1.9 xG, Kitakyushu 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 50% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oita Trinita 58%, draw 25%, Kitakyushu 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Oita Trinita or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oita Trinita 2–0 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oita Trinita58%fair 1.73 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.30
Kitakyushu18%fair 5.66 · @4.20
2.92Expected goals
1.94Oita Trinita xG
0.97Kitakyushu xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.9 – 1.0 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Oita TrinitaKitakyushu
Attack vs J2 League average-2%-16%
Goals conceded vs average-22%+22%
Our expected goals here1.680.79

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOita Trinita to win ✓58%1.731.80
Double chanceOita Trinita or draw ✓82%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.93 ▲
Draw no betOita Trinita (draw no bet) ✓77%1.31–
Asian handicapOita Trinita -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreOita Trinita to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultOita Trinita ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Oita Trinita

No recent results on record.

Kitakyushu

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Oita Trinita and Kitakyushu.

Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kitakyushu 18%.

How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 2–0 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?

Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.