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Thespakusatsu Gunma v Montedio Yamagata: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma

Montedio Yamagata

Thespakusatsu Gunma 30%Draw 24%Montedio Yamagata 46% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.34

73%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontedio Yamagata to win ✗46% · @1.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.72

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.80

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Montedio Yamagata travel to face Thespakusatsu Gunma on Saturday 21 February in the J2 League, with Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.2 xG, Montedio Yamagata 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Thespakusatsu Gunma 30%, draw 24%, Montedio Yamagata 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.72.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Montedio Yamagata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Thespakusatsu Gunma30%fair 3.32 · @3.30

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.30

Montedio Yamagata46%fair 2.19 · @1.90

2.56Expected goals

1.22Thespakusatsu Gunma xG

1.34Montedio Yamagata xG

59%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–110%

1–09%

1–28%

0–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.2 – 1.3 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Thespakusatsu Gunma	Montedio Yamagata
Attack vs J2 League average	+17%	-27%
Goals conceded vs average	+39%	-13%
Our expected goals here	1.41	1.21

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Montedio Yamagata to win ✗	46%	2.19	1.90
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.72
Draw no bet	Montedio Yamagata (draw no bet)	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	Thespakusatsu Gunma +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.97	1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.12
First team to score	Montedio Yamagata to score first ✓	48%	2.07	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Montedio Yamagata / FT Montedio Yamagata ✗	23%	4.36	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.80	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Thespakusatsu Gunma and Montedio Yamagata.

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Shonan Bellmare1

Vanraure Hachinohe0 154%1.90X27%3.25219%3.40 1.6–0.8xG 1XShonan Bellmare or draw 81%@1.27 ✓

Sagamihara1

Blaublitz Akita2 124%4.40X26%3.50250%1.65 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.31 ✓

Jubilo Iwata1

Matsumoto Yamaga2 151%1.70X26%3.50223%4.00 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.34 ✓

Omiya Ardija6

Fukushima United0 169%1.28X18%5.25212%7.50 2.5–1.1xG 1Omiya Ardija to win 69%@1.28 ✓

–

Parceiro Nagano1

Consadole Sapporo1 Pens 4–5 119%4.75X24%3.60257%1.60 0.9–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.29 ✓

–

Fujieda MYFC1

Ventforet Kofu1 Pens 3–4 141%2.50X25%3.25233%2.40 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.31 ✓

–

Nara Club2

Ehime FC2 Pens 4–5 136%2.60X26%3.20238%2.35 1.4–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓

Tegevajaro Miyazaki2

Sagan Tosu1 141%2.90X25%3.40234%2.05 1.8–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.24 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata?

On our numbers Thespakusatsu Gunma have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montedio Yamagata 46%.

How many goals will there be in Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our predicted score is Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata?

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Thespakusatsu Gunma v Montedio Yamagata: numbers & prediction