Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Sagan Tosu Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓41% · @2.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.66

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.47

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tegevajaro Miyazaki welcome Sagan Tosu to Unilever Stadium Shintomi for a J2 League fixture on Saturday 21 February (06:00 WAT). In the table, Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Sagan Tosu are 13th (lower half) with 20.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.8 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tegevajaro Miyazaki 41%, draw 25%, Sagan Tosu 34%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tegevajaro Miyazaki41%fair 2.42 · @2.90

Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.40

Sagan Tosu34%fair 2.96 · @2.05

3.02Expected goals

1.77Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG

1.25Sagan Tosu xG

62%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–110%

1–09%

2–08%

1–27%

0–16%

From our goals model: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.8 – 1.3 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	Sagan Tosu
Attack vs J2 League average	+31%	-13%
Goals conceded vs average	-28%	-16%
Our expected goals here	1.53	0.75

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Sagan Tosu

Attack vs J2 League average

+31%

-13%

Goals conceded vs average

-28%

-16%

Our expected goals here

1.53

0.75

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓	41%	2.42	2.90 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.66
Draw no bet	Tegevajaro Miyazaki (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.82	–
Asian handicap	Sagan Tosu +1 (Asian handicap)	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.80	1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.13
First team to score	Tegevajaro Miyazaki to score first	56%	1.80	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	39%	2.56	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki ✗	30%	3.30	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.47	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓

41%

2.42

2.90 ▲

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

75%

1.33

1.28

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

62%

1.62

1.66

Draw no bet

Tegevajaro Miyazaki (draw no bet) ✓

55%

1.82

–

Asian handicap

Sagan Tosu +1 (Asian handicap)

65%

1.54

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

78%

1.29

1.24

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

55%

1.80

1.75

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

66%

1.51

1.36

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

82%

1.22

1.13

First team to score

Tegevajaro Miyazaki to score first

56%

1.80

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

39%

2.56

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki ✗

30%

3.30

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✓

10%

10.47

–

Recent results

Head to head

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?

On our numbers Tegevajaro Miyazaki have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sagan Tosu 34%.

How many goals will there be in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?

Our predicted score is Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Sagan Tosu: numbers & prediction