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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Roasso Kumamoto v Kitakyushu: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Egao Kenko Stadium

Kitakyushu

Roasso Kumamoto 55%Draw 26%Kitakyushu 19% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.99

74%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultRoasso Kumamoto to win ✓55% · @1.61

Double chanceRoasso Kumamoto or draw ✓81% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

05:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Roasso Kumamoto v Kitakyushu in the J2 League, played at Egao Kenko Stadium.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Roasso Kumamoto 1.7 xG, Kitakyushu 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Roasso Kumamoto 55%, draw 26%, Kitakyushu 19%.
Lower-risk option: Roasso Kumamoto or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Roasso Kumamoto55%fair 1.82 · @1.61

Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.60

Kitakyushu19%fair 5.14 · @4.50

2.68Expected goals

1.69Roasso Kumamoto xG

0.99Kitakyushu xG

54%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

1–111%

2–010%

2–110%

0–07%

0–17%

From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 1.7 – 1.0 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Roasso Kumamoto	Kitakyushu
Attack vs J2 League average	-15%	-16%
Goals conceded vs average	-6%	+22%
Our expected goals here	1.45	0.95

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Roasso Kumamoto to win ✓	55%	1.82	1.61
Double chance	Roasso Kumamoto or draw ✓	81%	1.24	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.87	1.83
Draw no bet	Roasso Kumamoto (draw no bet) ✓	74%	1.35	–
Asian handicap	Kitakyushu +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.97	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	70%	1.42	1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	85%	1.18	1.12
First team to score	Roasso Kumamoto to score first	59%	1.70	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Roasso Kumamoto / FT Roasso Kumamoto ✗	33%	3.04	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.32	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Roasso Kumamoto and Kitakyushu.

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Yokohama FC5

Tochigi City1 159%1.93X22%3.20219%3.40 2.1–0.9xG 1XYokohama FC or draw 81%@1.27 ✓

Tochigi SC1

Vegalta Sendai2 120%4.33X24%3.40255%1.68 1.0–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✓

–

FC Gifu0

Iwaki0 Pens 4–4 124%3.60X25%3.50251%1.80 1.1–1.6xG X2Iwaki or draw 76%@1.25 ✓

Imabari2

Osaka0 145%1.82X26%3.30230%3.70 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Kamatamare Sanuki0

Albirex Niigata3 122%4.20X24%3.60254%1.65 1.1–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.26 ✓

Tokushima Vortis1

Kataller Toyama3 149%1.40X23%4.20228%6.25 1.6–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.24 ✓

Kochi United3

Kanazawa2 140%2.50X26%3.25235%2.40 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.31 ✓

Kagoshima United1

Renofa Yamaguchi0 145%1.98X25%3.30229%3.10 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.29 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kitakyushu 19%.

How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.