Tokushima Vortis v Kataller Toyama Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTokushima Vortis to win ✗49% · @1.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.19

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.00

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tokushima Vortis welcome Kataller Toyama to Pocarisweat Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 22 February (06:00 WAT). In the table, Tokushima Vortis are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Kataller Toyama are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tokushima Vortis 1.6 xG, Kataller Toyama 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tokushima Vortis 49%, draw 23%, Kataller Toyama 28%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokushima Vortis 1–1 Kataller Toyama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tokushima Vortis49%fair 2.04 · @1.40

Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.20

Kataller Toyama28%fair 3.59 · @6.25

3.25Expected goals

1.62Tokushima Vortis xG

1.63Kataller Toyama xG

60%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–28%

2–18%

2–27%

0–16%

1–06%

From our goals model: Tokushima Vortis 1.6 – 1.6 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Tokushima Vortis	Kataller Toyama
Attack vs J2 League average	-19%	+39%
Goals conceded vs average	-15%	-24%
Our expected goals here	0.86	1.42

Tokushima Vortis

Kataller Toyama

Attack vs J2 League average

-19%

+39%

Goals conceded vs average

-15%

-24%

Our expected goals here

0.86

1.42

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tokushima Vortis to win ✗	49%	2.04	1.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.19
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.67	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Tokushima Vortis (draw no bet) ✗	64%	1.57	–
Asian handicap	Tokushima Vortis +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	64%	1.57	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.13
First team to score	Kataller Toyama to score first	48%	2.07	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	38%	2.64	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama ✗	23%	4.34	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.08	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Tokushima Vortis to win ✗

49%

2.04

1.40

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

77%

1.30

1.19

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

60%

1.67

2.00 ▲

Draw no bet

Tokushima Vortis (draw no bet) ✗

64%

1.57

–

Asian handicap

Tokushima Vortis +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗

61%

1.63

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

79%

1.27

1.24

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

58%

1.73

1.75

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

64%

1.57

1.36

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

80%

1.25

1.13

First team to score

Kataller Toyama to score first

48%

2.07

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

38%

2.64

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama ✗

23%

4.34

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

12.08

–

Recent results

Head to head

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?

On our numbers Tokushima Vortis have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kataller Toyama 28%.

How many goals will there be in Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?

Our predicted score is Tokushima Vortis 1–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?

Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pocarisweat Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tokushima Vortis v Kataller Toyama: numbers & prediction