Value bet: Oita Trinita to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOita Trinita to win ✗36% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the J2 League brings Roasso Kumamoto against Oita Trinita at Egao Kenko Stadium. Kick-off: 05:05 WAT.
Current form
Oita Trinita, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Biwako Shiga, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roasso Kumamoto 1.2 xG, Oita Trinita 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roasso Kumamoto 36%, draw 28%, Oita Trinita 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Oita Trinita to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Oita Trinita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roasso Kumamoto36%fair 2.79 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.10
Oita Trinita36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.39Expected goals
1.15Roasso Kumamoto xG
1.23Oita Trinita xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 1.2 – 1.2 Oita Trinita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Roasso Kumamoto
Oita Trinita
Attack vs J2 League average
-15%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-22%
Our expected goals here
0.93
1.10
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oita Trinita to win✗
36%
2.78
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.83
Draw no bet
Oita Trinita (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Roasso Kumamoto +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Oita Trinita to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.39
–
Recent results
Roasso Kumamoto – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Kitakyushu
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Oita Trinita – last 3
WWW
25 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gainare Tottori
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Kitakyushu
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roasso Kumamoto and Oita Trinita.
What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?
On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Oita Trinita 36%.
How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?
Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Oita Trinita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 05:05 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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