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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sagamihara v Montedio Yamagata: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Sagamihara Gion Stadium

Montedio Yamagata

Sagamihara 30%Draw 24%Montedio Yamagata 45% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.41

66%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.41Odds

Value bet: Sagamihara to win @ 4.10 – our chance 30% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMontedio Yamagata to win ✗45% · @1.75

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.19

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.58

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.96

Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sagamihara welcome Montedio Yamagata to Sagamihara Gion Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 1 March (06:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sagamihara 1.4 xG, Montedio Yamagata 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sagamihara 30%, draw 24%, Montedio Yamagata 45%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.58.
Price worth noting: Sagamihara to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagamihara 1–1 Montedio Yamagata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sagamihara30%fair 3.30 · @4.10

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.65

Montedio Yamagata45%fair 2.21 · @1.75

2.81Expected goals

1.40Sagamihara xG

1.41Montedio Yamagata xG

63%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–18%

1–08%

1–28%

2–18%

0–06%

From our goals model: Sagamihara 1.4 – 1.4 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Sagamihara	Montedio Yamagata
Attack vs J2 League average	+19%	-27%
Goals conceded vs average	+16%	-13%
Our expected goals here	1.44	1.01

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Montedio Yamagata to win ✗	45%	2.21	1.75
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.19
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.60	1.58
Draw no bet	Montedio Yamagata (draw no bet) ✗	60%	1.67	–
Asian handicap	Sagamihara +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.50	1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.14
First team to score	Montedio Yamagata to score first ✗	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Montedio Yamagata / FT Montedio Yamagata ✗	22%	4.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.96	–

Recent results

Sagamihara – last 2

21 Feb	vs Blaublitz Akita	1–2	L
14 Feb	@ Shonan Bellmare	0–4	L

0.5Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Montedio Yamagata – last 1

15 Feb

@ Tochigi SC

2–1

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sagamihara and Montedio Yamagata.

Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

More J2 League predictions

League hub

–

Renofa Yamaguchi0

Gainare Tottori0 Pens 3–5 153%1.70X24%3.50223%4.33 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✗

Roasso Kumamoto3

Oita Trinita1 136%2.25X28%3.10236%3.00 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗

Tochigi SC4

Yokohama FC0 122%3.80X25%3.00252%1.95 1.1–1.8xG X2Yokohama FC or draw 78%@1.25 ✗

Iwaki1

Fujieda MYFC2 152%1.80X26%3.35222%4.00 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓

Imabari0

Albirex Niigata2 136%2.30X25%3.20238%2.90 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Kochi United2

Nara Club0 147%1.90X25%3.45228%3.70 1.8–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.24 ✓

Kanazawa1

Kamatamare Sanuki0 153%1.82X26%3.50221%3.95 1.8–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.23 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata?

On our numbers Sagamihara have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montedio Yamagata 45%.

How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our predicted score is Sagamihara 1–1 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata?

Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.