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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Imabari v Albirex Niigata: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Arigato Service Dream

Imabari

WL
0–2
FT

Albirex Niigata

WL
Imabari 36%Draw 25%Albirex Niigata 38% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.36
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Albirex Niigata to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlbirex Niigata to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Imabari vs Albirex Niigata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Imabari welcome Albirex Niigata to Arigato Service Dream for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 1 March (06:00 WAT). In the table, Imabari are 19th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Albirex Niigata are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Imabari 1.2 xG, Albirex Niigata 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Imabari 36%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Albirex Niigata to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Imabari 1–1 Albirex Niigata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Imabari36%fair 2.75 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Albirex Niigata38%fair 2.61 · @2.90
2.52Expected goals
1.16Imabari xG
1.36Albirex Niigata xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%

From our goals model: Imabari 1.2 – 1.4 Albirex Niigata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ImabariAlbirex Niigata
Attack vs J2 League average-18%+12%
Goals conceded vs average+27%+4%
Our expected goals here1.181.69

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlbirex Niigata to win ✓38%2.612.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.70
Draw no betAlbirex Niigata (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapImabari +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreAlbirex Niigata to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Albirex Niigata / FT Albirex Niigata ✓24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

Imabari – last 2

WL
22 Febvs Osaka2–0W
14 Feb@ Nara Club0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Albirex Niigata – last 2

WL
22 Feb@ Kamatamare Sanuki3–0W
15 Feb@ Tokushima Vortis0–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Imabari and Albirex Niigata.

Imabari vs Albirex Niigata head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
– Renofa Yamaguchi0 Gainare Tottori0 Pens 3–5 153%1.70X24%3.50223%4.33 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✗
FT Roasso Kumamoto3 Oita Trinita1 136%2.25X28%3.10236%3.00 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Tochigi SC4 Yokohama FC0 122%3.80X25%3.00252%1.95 1.1–1.8xG X2Yokohama FC or draw 78%@1.25 ✗
FT Sagamihara2 Montedio Yamagata1 130%4.10X24%3.65245%1.75 1.4–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.41 ✓
FT Iwaki1 Fujieda MYFC2 152%1.80X26%3.35222%4.00 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Kochi United2 Nara Club0 147%1.90X25%3.45228%3.70 1.8–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.24 ✓
FT Kanazawa1 Kamatamare Sanuki0 153%1.82X26%3.50221%3.95 1.8–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.23 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Imabari vs Albirex Niigata?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Imabari vs Albirex Niigata?

On our numbers Imabari have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albirex Niigata 38%.

How many goals will there be in Imabari vs Albirex Niigata?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Imabari vs Albirex Niigata?

Our predicted score is Imabari 1–1 Albirex Niigata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Imabari vs Albirex Niigata?

Imabari vs Albirex Niigata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Arigato Service Dream.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.