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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Iwaki v Omiya Ardija: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Iwaki Greenfield
1–1
–Pens 5–4
Iwaki 36%Draw 24%Omiya Ardija 40% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.61
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Iwaki welcome Omiya Ardija to Iwaki Greenfield for a J2 League fixture on Saturday 7 March (06:00 WAT). In the table, Iwaki are 8th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Omiya Ardija are 5th (upper half) with 30.

Current form

Omiya Ardija, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Parceiro Nagano, away. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Iwaki 1.5 xG, Omiya Ardija 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Iwaki 36%, draw 24%, Omiya Ardija 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iwaki 1–1 Omiya Ardija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Iwaki36%fair 2.78 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.55
Omiya Ardija40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
3.13Expected goals
1.52Iwaki xG
1.61Omiya Ardija xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Iwaki 1.5 – 1.6 Omiya Ardija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

IwakiOmiya Ardija
Attack vs J2 League average+19%+41%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-6%
Our expected goals here1.551.63

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOmiya Ardija to win ✗40%2.482.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.50
Draw no betOmiya Ardija (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapIwaki +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.711.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreOmiya Ardija to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.61–

Recent results

Iwaki – last 2

LW
1 Marvs Fujieda MYFC1–2L
15 Febvs Fukushima United3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Omiya Ardija – last 3

WWW
28 Feb@ Parceiro Nagano2–1W
21 Febvs Fukushima United6–0W
14 Febvs Consadole Sapporo3–2W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Iwaki and Omiya Ardija.

Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?

On our numbers Iwaki have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Omiya Ardija 40%.

How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?

Our predicted score is Iwaki 1–1 Omiya Ardija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?

Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.