Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 March the J2 League brings Matsumoto Yamaga against Consadole Sapporo at Sunpro Alwin. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.
Current form
Matsumoto Yamaga, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ventforet Kofu, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 1.2 xG, Consadole Sapporo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 33%, draw 26%, Consadole Sapporo 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Consadole Sapporo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Matsumoto Yamaga33%fair 3.05 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.35
Consadole Sapporo41%fair 2.41 · @2.05
2.55Expected goals
1.22Matsumoto Yamaga xG
1.33Consadole Sapporo xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.2 – 1.3 Consadole Sapporo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Matsumoto Yamaga
Consadole Sapporo
Attack vs J2 League average
+5%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.20
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Consadole Sapporo to win✗
41%
2.41
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Consadole Sapporo (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Matsumoto Yamaga +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Consadole Sapporo to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Consadole Sapporo / FT Consadole Sapporo✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 3
LWL
28 Feb
@ Ventforet Kofu
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Jubilo Iwata
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Consadole Sapporo – last 2
LL
28 Feb
vs FC Gifu
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Omiya Ardija
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Consadole Sapporo.
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Consadole Sapporo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo?
Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Consadole Sapporo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Consadole Sapporo (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.