Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 March the J2 League brings Renofa Yamaguchi against Sagan Tosu at Ishin Me-Life Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Renofa Yamaguchi 1.3 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Renofa Yamaguchi 39%, draw 27%, Sagan Tosu 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Renofa Yamaguchi39%fair 2.57 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.25
Sagan Tosu34%fair 2.91 · @2.55
2.46Expected goals
1.31Renofa Yamaguchi xG
1.15Sagan Tosu xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.3 – 1.2 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Renofa Yamaguchi
Sagan Tosu
Attack vs J2 League average
+11%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.05
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renofa Yamaguchi to win✓
39%
2.57
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Draw no bet
Renofa Yamaguchi (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Sagan Tosu +1 (Asian handicap)✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Renofa Yamaguchi to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Kagoshima United
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sagan Tosu – last 2
LL
28 Feb
vs Kagoshima United
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renofa Yamaguchi and Sagan Tosu.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sagan Tosu 34%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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