Shonan Bellmare v Montedio Yamagata Prediction & Expected Goals (14 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✓50% · @1.85

Double chanceShonan Bellmare or draw ✓78% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.77

Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Saturday 14 March: Shonan Bellmare v Montedio Yamagata in the J2 League, played at Lemon Gas Stadium. In the table, Shonan Bellmare are 10th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Montedio Yamagata are 14th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Shonan Bellmare, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tochigi City, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Montedio Yamagata, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Blaublitz Akita, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shonan Bellmare, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Montedio Yamagata.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shonan Bellmare 1.3 xG, Montedio Yamagata 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Shonan Bellmare 50%, draw 28%, Montedio Yamagata 22%.
Lower-risk option: Shonan Bellmare or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shonan Bellmare or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Montedio Yamagata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shonan Bellmare50%fair 2.00 · @1.85

Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.25

Montedio Yamagata22%fair 4.49 · @3.60

2.16Expected goals

1.34Shonan Bellmare xG

0.82Montedio Yamagata xG

52%Both score

37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

1–113%

0–011%

2–010%

0–19%

2–18%

From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.3 – 0.8 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Shonan Bellmare	Montedio Yamagata
Attack vs J2 League average	-15%	-27%
Goals conceded vs average	-24%	-13%
Our expected goals here	1.02	0.67

Shonan Bellmare

Montedio Yamagata

Attack vs J2 League average

-15%

-27%

Goals conceded vs average

-24%

-13%

Our expected goals here

1.02

0.67

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Shonan Bellmare to win ✓	50%	2.00	1.85
Double chance	Shonan Bellmare or draw ✓	78%	1.29	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.94	1.80
Draw no bet	Shonan Bellmare (draw no bet) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Asian handicap	Montedio Yamagata +1 (Asian handicap)	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	83%	1.21	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.07	–
First team to score	Shonan Bellmare to score first	55%	1.82	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare ✗	29%	3.49	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	8%	11.77	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Shonan Bellmare to win ✓

50%

2.00

1.85

Double chance

Shonan Bellmare or draw ✓

78%

1.29

1.22

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

52%

1.94

1.80

Draw no bet

Shonan Bellmare (draw no bet) ✓

69%

1.45

–

Asian handicap

Montedio Yamagata +1 (Asian handicap)

69%

1.45

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

64%

1.57

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

63%

1.58

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

83%

1.21

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

93%

1.07

–

First team to score

Shonan Bellmare to score first

55%

1.82

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

47%

2.11

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare ✗

29%

3.49

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✓

11.77

–

Recent results

Head to head

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our pick is Shonan Bellmare or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Montedio Yamagata 22%.

How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

28 Feb	@ Tochigi City	3–1	W
21 Feb	vs Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
14 Feb	vs Sagamihara	4–0	W

8 Mar	vs Blaublitz Akita	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ Sagamihara	1–2	L
15 Feb	@ Tochigi SC	2–1	W

Shonan Bellmare v Montedio Yamagata: numbers & prediction

Shonan Bellmare

Montedio Yamagata

Shonan Bellmare or draw

Picks by market

Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Shonan Bellmare – last 3

Montedio Yamagata – last 3

Head to head

J2 League table

More J2 League predictions

Frequently asked questions