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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Parceiro Nagano v Matsumoto Yamaga: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Nagano U Stadium

Parceiro Nagano

LLL
0–5
FT

Matsumoto Yamaga

WLWL
Parceiro Nagano 32%Draw 25%Matsumoto Yamaga 44% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.51
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Matsumoto Yamaga travel to face Parceiro Nagano on Saturday 14 March in the J2 League, with Nagano U Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Parceiro Nagano, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Fukushima United, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Consadole Sapporo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Matsumoto Yamaga, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Parceiro Nagano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Parceiro Nagano 1.2 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Parceiro Nagano 32%, draw 25%, Matsumoto Yamaga 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Parceiro Nagano32%fair 3.13 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.40
Matsumoto Yamaga44%fair 2.30 · @2.25
2.69Expected goals
1.18Parceiro Nagano xG
1.51Matsumoto Yamaga xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Parceiro Nagano 1.2 – 1.5 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Parceiro NaganoMatsumoto Yamaga
Attack vs J2 League average-11%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+25%-11%
Our expected goals here1.111.58

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✓44%2.302.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.70
Draw no betMatsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapParceiro Nagano +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✓27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

Parceiro Nagano – last 3

LLL
8 Mar@ Fukushima United2–4L
28 Febvs Omiya Ardija1–2L
14 Feb@ Ventforet Kofu0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 4

WLWL
7 Marvs Consadole Sapporo3–0W
28 Feb@ Ventforet Kofu0–1L
21 Feb@ Jubilo Iwata2–1W
14 Feb@ Fujieda MYFC0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Parceiro Nagano and Matsumoto Yamaga.

Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Kochi United2 Imabari0 141%2.88X25%3.25234%2.15 1.5–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.80 ✗
FT Shonan Bellmare2 Montedio Yamagata1 150%1.85X28%3.25222%3.60 1.3–0.8xG 1XShonan Bellmare or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Vegalta Sendai3 Sagamihara1 160%1.50X22%3.75218%5.50 2.1–1.1xG 1Vegalta Sendai to win 60%@1.50 ✓
FT Jubilo Iwata0 Consadole Sapporo1 140%2.20X26%3.30234%2.70 1.2–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.70 ✗
FT Ventforet Kofu0 Iwaki1 131%2.80X25%3.20244%2.20 1.1–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.67 ✗
FT Omiya Ardija1 Fujieda MYFC2 160%1.44X23%3.90217%5.80 2.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.73 ✓
– Nara Club0 Albirex Niigata0 Pens 1–3 130%3.60X23%3.60246%1.75 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.73 ✗
FT Sagan Tosu1 Kitakyushu0 157%1.55X24%3.60218%5.00 1.8–1.0xG 1Sagan Tosu to win 57%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

On our numbers Parceiro Nagano have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Matsumoto Yamaga 44%.

How many goals will there be in Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our predicted score is Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagano U Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.