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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montedio Yamagata v Vegalta Sendai: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · ND Soft Stadium Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

LLLW
0–1
FT

Vegalta Sendai

WWW
Montedio Yamagata 26%Draw 27%Vegalta Sendai 47% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.50
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultVegalta Sendai to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceVegalta Sendai or draw ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Montedio Yamagata welcome Vegalta Sendai to ND Soft Stadium Yamagata for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 22 March (06:00 WAT). In the table, Montedio Yamagata are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Vegalta Sendai are 4th (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Montedio Yamagata, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shonan Bellmare, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Vegalta Sendai, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sagamihara, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Vegalta Sendai, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Montedio Yamagata.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 1.0 xG, Vegalta Sendai 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 26%, draw 27%, Vegalta Sendai 47%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vegalta Sendai or draw (74%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montedio Yamagata26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.25
Vegalta Sendai47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
2.45Expected goals
0.95Montedio Yamagata xG
1.50Vegalta Sendai xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%

From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.0 – 1.5 Vegalta Sendai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Montedio YamagataVegalta Sendai
Attack vs J2 League average-27%+30%
Goals conceded vs average-13%-25%
Our expected goals here0.761.35

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVegalta Sendai to win ✓47%2.112.10
Double chanceVegalta Sendai or draw ✓74%1.351.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.70
Draw no betVegalta Sendai (draw no bet) ✓65%1.55–
Asian handicapMontedio Yamagata +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreVegalta Sendai to score first ✓56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vegalta Sendai / FT Vegalta Sendai ✓30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

Montedio Yamagata – last 4

LLLW
14 Mar@ Shonan Bellmare1–2L
8 Marvs Blaublitz Akita0–1L
1 Mar@ Sagamihara1–2L
15 Feb@ Tochigi SC2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Vegalta Sendai – last 3

WWW
14 Marvs Sagamihara3–1W
22 Feb@ Tochigi SC2–1W
14 Feb@ Yokohama FC1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Montedio Yamagata and Vegalta Sendai.

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Tochigi SC3 Tochigi City2 142%2.65X25%3.10233%2.50 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.40 ✓
– Kanazawa0 Osaka0 Pens 3–2 138%2.40X29%2.80233%3.00 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Imabari2 Tokushima Vortis1 129%2.95X27%3.20244%2.25 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Ehime FC1 Kochi United0 137%2.65X27%3.10236%2.45 1.4–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kamatamare Sanuki3 Nara Club1 136%2.25X24%3.35240%2.85 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
– Gainare Tottori0 Kagoshima United0 Pens 2–3 126%3.55X26%3.20248%1.95 1.0–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Renofa Yamaguchi0 Kitakyushu1 159%1.68X23%3.45218%4.60 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗
FT Biwako Shiga0 Sagan Tosu2 123%3.95X27%3.55251%1.77 0.9–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Vegalta Sendai 47%.

How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.