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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Renofa Yamaguchi v Kitakyushu: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Ishin Me-Life Stadium

Renofa Yamaguchi

WLW
0–1
FT

Kitakyushu

LLLLL
Renofa Yamaguchi 59%Draw 23%Kitakyushu 18% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.93
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✗59% · @1.68
Double chanceRenofa Yamaguchi or draw ✗82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Renofa Yamaguchi welcome Kitakyushu to Ishin Me-Life Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 22 March (06:00 WAT).

Current form

Renofa Yamaguchi, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sagan Tosu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Kitakyushu, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sagan Tosu, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Renofa Yamaguchi, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Kitakyushu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Renofa Yamaguchi 1.8 xG, Kitakyushu 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Renofa Yamaguchi 59%, draw 23%, Kitakyushu 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Renofa Yamaguchi or draw (82%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Renofa Yamaguchi59%fair 1.70 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.45
Kitakyushu18%fair 5.55 · @4.60
2.75Expected goals
1.82Renofa Yamaguchi xG
0.93Kitakyushu xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%

From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.8 – 0.9 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Renofa YamaguchiKitakyushu
Attack vs J2 League average+11%-16%
Goals conceded vs average+0%+22%
Our expected goals here1.891.02

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✗59%1.701.68
Double chanceRenofa Yamaguchi or draw ✗82%1.221.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.85
Draw no betRenofa Yamaguchi (draw no bet) ✗77%1.31–
Asian handicapKitakyushu +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.361.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreRenofa Yamaguchi to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultRenofa Yamaguchi ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Renofa Yamaguchi – last 3

WLW
7 Marvs Sagan Tosu2–0W
22 Feb@ Kagoshima United0–1L
15 Febvs Biwako Shiga2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kitakyushu – last 5

LLLLL
14 Mar@ Sagan Tosu0–1L
7 Marvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–3L
28 Febvs Biwako Shiga1–2L
22 Feb@ Roasso Kumamoto1–4L
15 Feb@ Oita Trinita0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Renofa Yamaguchi and Kitakyushu.

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

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FT Montedio Yamagata0 Vegalta Sendai1 126%3.20X27%3.25247%2.10 1.0–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Tochigi SC3 Tochigi City2 142%2.65X25%3.10233%2.50 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.40 ✓
– Kanazawa0 Osaka0 Pens 3–2 138%2.40X29%2.80233%3.00 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Imabari2 Tokushima Vortis1 129%2.95X27%3.20244%2.25 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Ehime FC1 Kochi United0 137%2.65X27%3.10236%2.45 1.4–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kamatamare Sanuki3 Nara Club1 136%2.25X24%3.35240%2.85 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
– Gainare Tottori0 Kagoshima United0 Pens 2–3 126%3.55X26%3.20248%1.95 1.0–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Biwako Shiga0 Sagan Tosu2 123%3.95X27%3.55251%1.77 0.9–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kitakyushu 18%.

How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.