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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Biwako Shiga v Sagan Tosu: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Heiwado HATO Stadium

Biwako Shiga

LWWLL
0–2
FT

Sagan Tosu

WLLL
Biwako Shiga 23%Draw 27%Sagan Tosu 51% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.37
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓51% · @1.77
Double chanceSagan Tosu or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sagan Tosu travel to face Biwako Shiga on Sunday 22 March in the J2 League, with Heiwado HATO Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:00 WAT.

Current form

Biwako Shiga, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kagoshima United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Sagan Tosu, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kitakyushu, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Biwako Shiga 0.9 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Biwako Shiga 23%, draw 27%, Sagan Tosu 51%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sagan Tosu or draw (77%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Biwako Shiga 0–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Biwako Shiga23%fair 4.40 · @3.95
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.55
Sagan Tosu51%fair 1.97 · @1.77
2.27Expected goals
0.90Biwako Shiga xG
1.37Sagan Tosu xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Biwako Shiga 0.9 – 1.4 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Biwako ShigaSagan Tosu
Attack vs J2 League average-23%-13%
Goals conceded vs average+14%-16%
Our expected goals here0.901.19

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSagan Tosu to win ✓51%1.971.77
Double chanceSagan Tosu or draw ✓77%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.80
Draw no betSagan Tosu (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapBiwako Shiga +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreSagan Tosu to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu ✓28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

Biwako Shiga – last 5

LWWLL
15 Mar@ Kagoshima United0–1L
8 Marvs Roasso Kumamoto1–0W
28 Feb@ Kitakyushu2–1W
25 Feb@ Oita Trinita0–2L
15 Feb@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Sagan Tosu – last 4

WLLL
14 Marvs Kitakyushu1–0W
7 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi0–2L
28 Febvs Kagoshima United0–1L
21 Feb@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Biwako Shiga and Sagan Tosu.

Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Montedio Yamagata0 Vegalta Sendai1 126%3.20X27%3.25247%2.10 1.0–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Tochigi SC3 Tochigi City2 142%2.65X25%3.10233%2.50 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.40 ✓
– Kanazawa0 Osaka0 Pens 3–2 138%2.40X29%2.80233%3.00 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Imabari2 Tokushima Vortis1 129%2.95X27%3.20244%2.25 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Ehime FC1 Kochi United0 137%2.65X27%3.10236%2.45 1.4–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kamatamare Sanuki3 Nara Club1 136%2.25X24%3.35240%2.85 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
– Gainare Tottori0 Kagoshima United0 Pens 2–3 126%3.55X26%3.20248%1.95 1.0–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Renofa Yamaguchi0 Kitakyushu1 159%1.68X23%3.45218%4.60 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?

On our numbers Biwako Shiga have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sagan Tosu 51%.

How many goals will there be in Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?

Our predicted score is Biwako Shiga 0–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?

Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Heiwado HATO Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.