Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the J2 League brings Sagan Tosu against Oita Trinita at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Sagan Tosu are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Oita Trinita are 11th (lower half) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sagan Tosu, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gainare Tottori, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Oita Trinita, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Renofa Yamaguchi, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sagan Tosu, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Oita Trinita.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sagan Tosu 1.2 xG, Oita Trinita 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sagan Tosu 47%, draw 28%, Oita Trinita 25%.
Lower-risk option: Sagan Tosu or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sagan Tosu or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagan Tosu 1–0 Oita Trinita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sagan Tosu47%fair 2.11 · @1.80
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.30
Oita Trinita25%fair 4.08 · @3.70
2.18Expected goals
1.22Sagan Tosu xG
0.96Oita Trinita xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.2 – 1.0 Oita Trinita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sagan Tosu
Oita Trinita
Attack vs J2 League average
-13%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-22%
Our expected goals here
0.96
0.99
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win✗
47%
2.11
1.80
Double chance
Sagan Tosu or draw✗
75%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
Sagan Tosu (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Oita Trinita +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sagan Tosu to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Recent results
Sagan Tosu – last 6
WWWLLL
29 Mar
@ Gainare Tottori
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Biwako Shiga
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs Kitakyushu
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Kagoshima United
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Oita Trinita – last 6
LLLLWW
29 Mar
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs FC Ryukyu
2–3
L
14 Mar
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–3
L
25 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gainare Tottori
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Oita Trinita.
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita?
Our pick is Sagan Tosu or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita?
On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Oita Trinita 25%.
How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita?
Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–0 Oita Trinita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita?
Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ehime FC1
Matsumoto Yamaga2
Osaka0
Nara Club2
Kochi United2
Kamatamare Sanuki0
Kagoshima United1
Kitakyushu1
Renofa Yamaguchi0