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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kagoshima United v Kitakyushu: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Shiranami Stadium

Kagoshima United

WWWWW
1–1
–Pens 8–7

Kitakyushu

WWLLL
Kagoshima United 60%Draw 23%Kitakyushu 16% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.74
60%
Betarazi pick

Kagoshima United to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultKagoshima United to win ✗60% · @1.60
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72

Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Kagoshima United v Kitakyushu in the J2 League, played at Shiranami Stadium.

Current form

Kagoshima United, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Roasso Kumamoto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Kitakyushu, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Ryukyu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kagoshima United, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kitakyushu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kagoshima United 1.7 xG, Kitakyushu 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kagoshima United 60%, draw 23%, Kitakyushu 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kagoshima United or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kagoshima United to win (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kagoshima United 1–0 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kagoshima United60%fair 1.66 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.70
Kitakyushu16%fair 6.11 · @4.33
2.44Expected goals
1.71Kagoshima United xG
0.74Kitakyushu xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.7 – 0.7 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Kagoshima UnitedKitakyushu
Attack vs J2 League average+5%-16%
Goals conceded vs average-25%+22%
Our expected goals here1.790.76

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✗60%1.661.60
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓84%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.73
Draw no betKagoshima United (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapKagoshima United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreKagoshima United to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.72–

Recent results

Kagoshima United – last 5

WWWWW
29 Mar@ Roasso Kumamoto1–0W
15 Marvs Biwako Shiga1–0W
28 Feb@ Sagan Tosu1–0W
22 Febvs Renofa Yamaguchi1–0W
15 Febvs FC Ryukyu3–1W
1.4Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Kitakyushu – last 6

WWLLLL
29 Marvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
22 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–0W
14 Mar@ Sagan Tosu0–1L
7 Marvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–3L
28 Febvs Biwako Shiga1–2L
22 Feb@ Roasso Kumamoto1–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kagoshima United and Kitakyushu.

Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Vanraure Hachinohe0 Montedio Yamagata2 137%2.15X29%3.10234%3.25 1.0–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Imabari0 Ehime FC1 137%2.10X26%3.20237%3.20 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
– Matsumoto Yamaga2 Iwaki2 Pens 4–5 130%3.55X23%3.60247%1.85 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Tokushima Vortis1 Osaka0 152%1.65X28%3.55220%4.75 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Kataller Toyama5 Nara Club2 162%1.50X21%3.85217%5.80 2.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Kochi United2 Kamatamare Sanuki0 154%1.85X25%3.20221%4.00 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Sagan Tosu0 Oita Trinita1 147%1.80X28%3.30225%3.70 1.2–1.0xG 1XSagan Tosu or draw 75%@1.22 ✗
FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki3 Renofa Yamaguchi0 153%1.95X25%3.20222%3.65 1.7–0.9xG 1XTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Kagoshima United to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kitakyushu 16%.

How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–0 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.