Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tochigi SC welcome Shonan Bellmare to Kanseki Stadium Tochigi for a J2 League fixture on Wednesday 29 April (06:00 WAT).
Current form
Tochigi SC, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tochigi City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Shonan Bellmare, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Thespakusatsu Gunma, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Shonan Bellmare, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Tochigi SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tochigi SC 1.2 xG, Shonan Bellmare 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tochigi SC 29%, draw 28%, Shonan Bellmare 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tochigi SC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tochigi SC29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.20
Shonan Bellmare43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
2.55Expected goals
1.16Tochigi SC xG
1.38Shonan Bellmare xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.2 – 1.4 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tochigi SC
Shonan Bellmare
Attack vs J2 League average
-8%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-24%
Our expected goals here
0.98
1.07
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shonan Bellmare to win✗
43%
2.32
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
Shonan Bellmare (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Tochigi SC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Shonan Bellmare to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Tochigi SC – last 6
LLWLWW
25 Apr
@ Tochigi City
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Sagamihara
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
5–1
W
8 Apr
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
0–3
L
28 Mar
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Tochigi City
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Shonan Bellmare – last 6
LWWWWW
18 Apr
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Blaublitz Akita
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Yokohama FC
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Tochigi City
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Shonan Bellmare.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Shonan Bellmare 43%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare?
Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Gifu1
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Sagamihara1
Osaka2