Sagamihara 46%Draw 24%Tochigi City 30%Expected goals 1.94 – 1.40
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSagamihara to win ✓46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Sagamihara vs Tochigi City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 29 April the J2 League brings Sagamihara against Tochigi City at Sagamihara Gion Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.
Current form
Sagamihara, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tochigi SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tochigi City, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tochigi SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sagamihara 1.9 xG, Tochigi City 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sagamihara 46%, draw 24%, Tochigi City 30%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagamihara 1–1 Tochigi City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sagamihara46%fair 2.17 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20
Tochigi City30%fair 3.29 · @2.88
3.35Expected goals
1.94Sagamihara xG
1.40Tochigi City xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Sagamihara 1.9 – 1.4 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sagamihara
Tochigi City
Attack vs J2 League average
+19%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+37%
Our expected goals here
2.28
1.41
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagamihara to win✓
46%
2.17
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Sagamihara (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Tochigi City +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Sagamihara to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Sagamihara ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagamihara / FT Sagamihara✓
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Sagamihara – last 6
WLLLWW
19 Apr
@ Tochigi SC
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Vegalta Sendai
0–3
L
21 Mar
vs Yokohama FC
2–4
L
14 Mar
@ Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs Tochigi SC
4–0
W
4 Mar
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tochigi City – last 6
WLLWLW
25 Apr
vs Tochigi SC
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Vegalta Sendai
0–5
L
12 Apr
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
2–4
L
29 Mar
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tochigi SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagamihara and Tochigi City.
What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Sagamihara have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tochigi City 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Sagamihara 1–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?
Sagamihara vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Gifu1
Tochigi SC1
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Osaka2