Value bet: Omiya Ardija to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✗63% · @1.77
Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Omiya Ardija v Ventforet Kofu in the J2 League, played at NACK5 Stadium Omiya. In the table, Omiya Ardija are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Ventforet Kofu are 20th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Omiya Ardija, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Jubilo Iwata, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Ventforet Kofu, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fukushima United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ventforet Kofu, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Omiya Ardija.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Ventforet Kofu 2–1 Omiya Ardija.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Omiya Ardija 2.1 xG, Ventforet Kofu 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Omiya Ardija 63%, draw 23%, Ventforet Kofu 15%.
Lower-risk option: Omiya Ardija or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Omiya Ardija to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Omiya Ardija 2–0 Ventforet Kofu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Omiya Ardija63%fair 1.59 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Ventforet Kofu15%fair 6.80 · @4.10
2.93Expected goals
2.10Omiya Ardija xG
0.83Ventforet Kofu xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Omiya Ardija 2.1 – 0.8 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Omiya Ardija
Ventforet Kofu
Attack vs J2 League average
+41%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.41
0.81
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
On our numbers Omiya Ardija have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ventforet Kofu 15%.
How many goals will there be in Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our predicted score is Omiya Ardija 2–0 Ventforet Kofu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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