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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kitakyushu v Oita Trinita: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

LWLWW
2–1
FT

Oita Trinita

LWLWL
Kitakyushu 28%Draw 26%Oita Trinita 45% Expected goals 1.01 – 1.43
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultOita Trinita to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10

Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Oita Trinita travel to face Kitakyushu on Sunday 3 May in the J2 League, with Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu the venue – the ball rolls at 06:03 WAT.

Current form

Kitakyushu, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tegevajaro Miyazaki, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Oita Trinita, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Roasso Kumamoto, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kitakyushu, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Oita Trinita.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Oita Trinita 2–0 Kitakyushu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kitakyushu 1.0 xG, Oita Trinita 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kitakyushu 28%, draw 26%, Oita Trinita 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kitakyushu 1–1 Oita Trinita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kitakyushu28%fair 3.52 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Oita Trinita45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
2.44Expected goals
1.01Kitakyushu xG
1.43Oita Trinita xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.0 – 1.4 Oita Trinita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

KitakyushuOita Trinita
Attack vs J2 League average-16%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+22%-22%
Our expected goals here0.921.44

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOita Trinita to win ✗45%2.202.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.95 ▲
Draw no betOita Trinita (draw no bet) ✗62%1.62–
Asian handicapKitakyushu +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreOita Trinita to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita ✗28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.10–

Recent results

Kitakyushu – last 6

LWLWWL
29 Apr@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–3L
18 Apr@ FC Ryukyu2–0W
12 Aprvs Sagan Tosu0–1L
29 Marvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
22 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–0W
14 Mar@ Sagan Tosu0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Oita Trinita – last 6

LWLWLL
29 Aprvs Roasso Kumamoto0–1L
19 Apr@ Biwako Shiga3–0W
11 Aprvs Renofa Yamaguchi1–2L
5 Apr@ Sagan Tosu1–0W
29 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–3L
21 Marvs FC Ryukyu2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Oita Trinita v Kitakyushu2–0
Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Vanraure Hachinohe0 Thespakusatsu Gunma1 147%1.67X24%3.50228%4.75 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✗
FT Matsumoto Yamaga0 Ventforet Kofu1 148%2.25X25%3.10227%3.10 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
– Montedio Yamagata2 Tochigi SC2 Pens 4–4 140%2.30X28%3.10232%2.70 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.80 ✓
FT Fukushima United1 Omiya Ardija2 119%4.60X22%3.80259%1.55 1.3–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.70 ✓
FT Albirex Niigata2 Kamatamare Sanuki1 158%1.55X23%3.70218%4.75 1.8–0.9xG 1Albirex Niigata to win 58%@1.55 ✓
FT Imabari1 Nara Club2 147%1.62X23%3.40230%4.75 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.95 ✓
FT Roasso Kumamoto2 Biwako Shiga0 153%1.65X27%3.40219%4.50 1.4–0.8xG 1Roasso Kumamoto to win 53%@1.65 ✓
FT Kanazawa0 Kataller Toyama1 126%3.10X25%3.10248%2.10 1.2–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@1.91 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita?

On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Oita Trinita 45%.

How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita?

Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 1–1 Oita Trinita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita?

Kitakyushu vs Oita Trinita (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 06:03 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.