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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kitakyushu v Roasso Kumamoto: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

WLWLW
1–2
FT

Roasso Kumamoto

WWWLL
Kitakyushu 36%Draw 27%Roasso Kumamoto 37% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.24
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRoasso Kumamoto to win ✓37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.36

Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Kitakyushu v Roasso Kumamoto in the J2 League, played at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.

Current form

Kitakyushu, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Oita Trinita, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Roasso Kumamoto, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Biwako Shiga, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Roasso Kumamoto 4–1 Kitakyushu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kitakyushu 1.2 xG, Roasso Kumamoto 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kitakyushu 36%, draw 27%, Roasso Kumamoto 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kitakyushu 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kitakyushu36%fair 2.78 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Roasso Kumamoto37%fair 2.72 · @2.80
2.42Expected goals
1.17Kitakyushu xG
1.24Roasso Kumamoto xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.2 – 1.2 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

KitakyushuRoasso Kumamoto
Attack vs J2 League average-16%-15%
Goals conceded vs average+22%-6%
Our expected goals here1.101.25

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRoasso Kumamoto to win ✓37%2.722.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.85 ▲
Draw no betRoasso Kumamoto (draw no bet) ✓51%1.98–
Asian handicapKitakyushu +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreRoasso Kumamoto to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Roasso Kumamoto / FT Roasso Kumamoto ✓22%4.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.36–

Recent results

Kitakyushu – last 6

WLWLWW
3 Mayvs Oita Trinita2–1W
29 Apr@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–3L
18 Apr@ FC Ryukyu2–0W
12 Aprvs Sagan Tosu0–1L
29 Marvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
22 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Roasso Kumamoto – last 6

WWWLLW
3 Mayvs Biwako Shiga2–0W
29 Apr@ Oita Trinita1–0W
25 Apr@ Gainare Tottori2–0W
19 Aprvs Sagan Tosu0–2L
12 Aprvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–5L
4 Apr@ FC Ryukyu1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Roasso Kumamoto v Kitakyushu4–1
Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

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– Tochigi City2 Yokohama FC2 Pens 4–5 126%3.10X22%3.40252%2.05 1.3–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Vegalta Sendai2 Tochigi SC1 159%1.75X24%3.60217%4.00 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata1 Thespakusatsu Gunma2 150%1.80X27%3.45223%3.90 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Ventforet Kofu1 Jubilo Iwata2 131%2.62X28%3.00242%2.62 0.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Omiya Ardija3 Iwaki2 142%2.38X24%3.35234%2.65 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo2 Parceiro Nagano0 163%1.53X22%3.95215%5.10 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
– Fujieda MYFC1 Fukushima United1 Pens 3–4 153%1.80X22%3.70225%3.60 1.8–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.48 ✓
FT Albirex Niigata1 Tokushima Vortis0 137%2.85X27%3.20237%2.33 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?

On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Roasso Kumamoto 37%.

How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.