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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Gifu v Matsumoto Yamaga: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field

FC Gifu

LWLWL
0–3
FT

Matsumoto Yamaga

LLLWW
FC Gifu 38%Draw 26%Matsumoto Yamaga 36% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.38
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Gifu to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.43

FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Matsumoto Yamaga travel to face FC Gifu on Wednesday 6 May in the J2 League, with Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.

Current form

FC Gifu, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ventforet Kofu, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Matsumoto Yamaga, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for FC Gifu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Gifu 1.3 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Gifu 38%, draw 26%, Matsumoto Yamaga 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Gifu 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Gifu38%fair 2.65 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.25
Matsumoto Yamaga36%fair 2.75 · @2.95
2.68Expected goals
1.31FC Gifu xG
1.38Matsumoto Yamaga xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: FC Gifu 1.3 – 1.4 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FC GifuMatsumoto Yamaga
Attack vs J2 League average-5%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+10%-11%
Our expected goals here1.181.39

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Gifu to win ✗38%2.652.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.73
Draw no betFC Gifu (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapFC Gifu +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.16–
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✓22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.43–

Recent results

FC Gifu – last 6

LWLWLL
2 Mayvs Consadole Sapporo0–3L
29 Apr@ Iwaki1–0W
25 Apr@ Jubilo Iwata0–1L
19 Apr@ Fukushima United2–1W
11 Aprvs Fujieda MYFC1–2L
4 Apr@ Omiya Ardija0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

LLLWWW
3 Mayvs Ventforet Kofu0–1L
26 Aprvs Parceiro Nagano0–1L
18 Apr@ Consadole Sapporo1–2L
12 Aprvs Omiya Ardija4–1W
29 Mar@ Fukushima United3–1W
14 Mar@ Parceiro Nagano5–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Gifu and Matsumoto Yamaga.

FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

League hub
– Tochigi City2 Yokohama FC2 Pens 4–5 126%3.10X22%3.40252%2.05 1.3–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Vegalta Sendai2 Tochigi SC1 159%1.75X24%3.60217%4.00 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata1 Thespakusatsu Gunma2 150%1.80X27%3.45223%3.90 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Ventforet Kofu1 Jubilo Iwata2 131%2.62X28%3.00242%2.62 0.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Omiya Ardija3 Iwaki2 142%2.38X24%3.35234%2.65 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo2 Parceiro Nagano0 163%1.53X22%3.95215%5.10 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
– Fujieda MYFC1 Fukushima United1 Pens 3–4 153%1.80X22%3.70225%3.60 1.8–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.48 ✓
FT Albirex Niigata1 Tokushima Vortis0 137%2.85X27%3.20237%2.33 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

On our numbers FC Gifu have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Matsumoto Yamaga 36%.

How many goals will there be in FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our predicted score is FC Gifu 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.