Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultOita Trinita to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.73
Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the J2 League brings Oita Trinita against Sagan Tosu at Resonac Dome Oita. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Oita Trinita are 11th, lower half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Sagan Tosu are 13th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oita Trinita, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kagoshima United, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sagan Tosu, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Gainare Tottori, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sagan Tosu, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Oita Trinita.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Sagan Tosu 0–1 Oita Trinita.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oita Trinita 1.2 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oita Trinita 39%, draw 29%, Sagan Tosu 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oita Trinita 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oita Trinita39%fair 2.59 · @2.55
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.90
Sagan Tosu32%fair 3.12 · @2.75
2.14Expected goals
1.18Oita Trinita xG
0.96Sagan Tosu xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.2 – 1.0 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Oita Trinita
Sagan Tosu
Attack vs J2 League average
-2%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.15
0.82
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sagan Tosu 32%.
How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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