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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montedio Yamagata v Shonan Bellmare: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · ND Soft Stadium Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

LLLLL
3–1
FT

Shonan Bellmare

LLWLL
Montedio Yamagata 31%Draw 29%Shonan Bellmare 40% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.21
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.46

Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shonan Bellmare travel to face Montedio Yamagata on Sunday 24 May in the J2 League, with ND Soft Stadium Yamagata the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Montedio Yamagata are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Shonan Bellmare are 10th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Montedio Yamagata, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tochigi City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Shonan Bellmare, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vegalta Sendai, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Shonan Bellmare, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Montedio Yamagata.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Montedio Yamagata.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 1.0 xG, Shonan Bellmare 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 31%, draw 29%, Shonan Bellmare 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Shonan Bellmare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montedio Yamagata31%fair 3.22 · @3.00
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.30
Shonan Bellmare40%fair 2.49 · @2.15
2.25Expected goals
1.04Montedio Yamagata xG
1.21Shonan Bellmare xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.0 – 1.2 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Montedio YamagataShonan Bellmare
Attack vs J2 League average-27%-15%
Goals conceded vs average-13%-24%
Our expected goals here0.770.88

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShonan Bellmare to win ✗40%2.492.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.401.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.62
Draw no betShonan Bellmare (draw no bet) ✗56%1.77–
Asian handicapMontedio Yamagata +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.341.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreShonan Bellmare to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.46–

Recent results

Montedio Yamagata – last 6

LLLLLW
16 May@ Tochigi City0–3L
10 Mayvs Sagamihara2–3L
6 Mayvs Thespakusatsu Gunma1–2L
29 Apr@ Blaublitz Akita0–2L
25 Apr@ Vegalta Sendai0–1L
19 Aprvs Vanraure Hachinohe1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Shonan Bellmare – last 6

LLWLLW
16 Mayvs Vegalta Sendai0–2L
10 Mayvs Yokohama FC0–1L
6 May@ Vanraure Hachinohe1–0W
2 Mayvs Tochigi City1–2L
18 Aprvs Thespakusatsu Gunma1–2L
12 Apr@ Blaublitz Akita1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Shonan Bellmare v Montedio Yamagata2–1
Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Vanraure Hachinohe0 Tochigi SC0 135%2.40X28%3.00237%2.85 1.1–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✗
FT Blaublitz Akita1 Tochigi City0 148%2.10X25%3.10227%3.30 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 ✗
– Matsumoto Yamaga3 Fukushima United3 Pens 2–3 157%1.68X23%3.75220%4.20 2.0–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
– Kamatamare Sanuki2 Osaka2 Pens 4–5 124%3.55X27%3.30249%1.95 1.0–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✗
– Tokushima Vortis1 Imabari1 Pens 3–3 153%1.83X27%3.45220%3.80 1.6–0.9xG 1XTokushima Vortis or draw 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Kitakyushu1 Kagoshima United5 121%3.90X26%3.25253%1.85 0.9–1.6xG X2Kagoshima United or draw 79%@1.22 ✓
– Gainare Tottori0 Oita Trinita0 Pens 133%3.00X27%3.10240%2.25 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
– Tegevajaro Miyazaki2 Biwako Shiga2 Pens 1–2 167%1.40X21%4.00212%7.20 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Shonan Bellmare 40%.

How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.