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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Matsumoto Yamaga v Fukushima United: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Sunpro Alwin

Matsumoto Yamaga

WLLLW
3–3
–Pens 2–3

Fukushima United

LWLWL
Matsumoto Yamaga 57%Draw 23%Fukushima United 20% Expected goals 1.95 – 1.14
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗57% · @1.68
Double chanceMatsumoto Yamaga or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fukushima United travel to face Matsumoto Yamaga on Sunday 24 May in the J2 League, with Sunpro Alwin the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Gifu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Fukushima United, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Matsumoto Yamaga, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Fukushima United.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Fukushima United 1–3 Matsumoto Yamaga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 2.0 xG, Fukushima United 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 57%, draw 23%, Fukushima United 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Matsumoto Yamaga or draw (80%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Fukushima United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Matsumoto Yamaga57%fair 1.77 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.75
Fukushima United20%fair 5.03 · @4.20
3.09Expected goals
1.95Matsumoto Yamaga xG
1.14Fukushima United xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 2.0 – 1.1 Fukushima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Matsumoto YamagaFukushima United
Attack vs J2 League average+5%+4%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+22%
Our expected goals here1.801.11

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗57%1.771.68
Double chanceMatsumoto Yamaga or draw ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.57
Draw no betMatsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapFukushima United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.591.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultMatsumoto Yamaga ahead at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

WLLLWW
6 May@ FC Gifu3–0W
3 Mayvs Ventforet Kofu0–1L
26 Aprvs Parceiro Nagano0–1L
18 Apr@ Consadole Sapporo1–2L
12 Aprvs Omiya Ardija4–1W
29 Mar@ Fukushima United3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fukushima United – last 6

LWLWLL
16 Mayvs Consadole Sapporo0–3L
10 Mayvs Jubilo Iwata4–2W
3 Mayvs Omiya Ardija1–2L
29 Apr@ Parceiro Nagano3–1W
25 Aprvs Ventforet Kofu0–1L
19 Aprvs FC Gifu1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Fukushima United v Matsumoto Yamaga1–3
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

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FT Vanraure Hachinohe0 Tochigi SC0 135%2.40X28%3.00237%2.85 1.1–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✗
FT Montedio Yamagata3 Shonan Bellmare1 131%3.00X29%3.30240%2.15 1.0–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.36 ✗
FT Blaublitz Akita1 Tochigi City0 148%2.10X25%3.10227%3.30 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 ✗
– Kamatamare Sanuki2 Osaka2 Pens 4–5 124%3.55X27%3.30249%1.95 1.0–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✗
– Tokushima Vortis1 Imabari1 Pens 3–3 153%1.83X27%3.45220%3.80 1.6–0.9xG 1XTokushima Vortis or draw 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Kitakyushu1 Kagoshima United5 121%3.90X26%3.25253%1.85 0.9–1.6xG X2Kagoshima United or draw 79%@1.22 ✓
– Gainare Tottori0 Oita Trinita0 Pens 133%3.00X27%3.10240%2.25 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
– Tegevajaro Miyazaki2 Biwako Shiga2 Pens 1–2 167%1.40X21%4.00212%7.20 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?

On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fukushima United 20%.

How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?

Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Fukushima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.