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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kitakyushu v Kagoshima United: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

LLWLW
1–5
FT

Kagoshima United

WLLLL
Kitakyushu 21%Draw 26%Kagoshima United 53% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.55
79%
Betarazi pick

Kagoshima United or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultKagoshima United to win ✓53% · @1.85
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Kitakyushu v Kagoshima United in the J2 League, played at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.

Current form

Kitakyushu, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Biwako Shiga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kagoshima United, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Roasso Kumamoto, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kitakyushu 0.9 xG, Kagoshima United 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kitakyushu 21%, draw 26%, Kagoshima United 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kagoshima United or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kagoshima United or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kitakyushu 0–1 Kagoshima United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kitakyushu21%fair 4.66 · @3.90
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.25
Kagoshima United53%fair 1.89 · @1.85
2.44Expected goals
0.89Kitakyushu xG
1.55Kagoshima United xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%

From our goals model: Kitakyushu 0.9 – 1.6 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

KitakyushuKagoshima United
Attack vs J2 League average-16%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+22%-25%
Our expected goals here0.881.54

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✓53%1.891.85
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.83
Draw no betKagoshima United (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapKitakyushu +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scoreKagoshima United to score first58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✓32%3.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

Kitakyushu – last 6

LLWLWL
17 May@ Biwako Shiga0–1L
6 Mayvs Roasso Kumamoto1–2L
3 Mayvs Oita Trinita2–1W
29 Apr@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–3L
18 Apr@ FC Ryukyu2–0W
12 Aprvs Sagan Tosu0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kagoshima United – last 6

WLLLLW
17 Mayvs Roasso Kumamoto2–1W
10 May@ Biwako Shiga0–1L
6 Mayvs Oita Trinita0–1L
25 Apr@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–1L
18 Apr@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–2L
12 Aprvs Gainare Tottori3–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and Kagoshima United.

Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Vanraure Hachinohe0 Tochigi SC0 135%2.40X28%3.00237%2.85 1.1–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✗
FT Montedio Yamagata3 Shonan Bellmare1 131%3.00X29%3.30240%2.15 1.0–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.36 ✗
FT Blaublitz Akita1 Tochigi City0 148%2.10X25%3.10227%3.30 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 ✗
– Matsumoto Yamaga3 Fukushima United3 Pens 2–3 157%1.68X23%3.75220%4.20 2.0–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
– Kamatamare Sanuki2 Osaka2 Pens 4–5 124%3.55X27%3.30249%1.95 1.0–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✗
– Tokushima Vortis1 Imabari1 Pens 3–3 153%1.83X27%3.45220%3.80 1.6–0.9xG 1XTokushima Vortis or draw 80%@1.20 ✓
– Gainare Tottori0 Oita Trinita0 Pens 133%3.00X27%3.10240%2.25 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
– Tegevajaro Miyazaki2 Biwako Shiga2 Pens 1–2 167%1.40X21%4.00212%7.20 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?

Our pick is Kagoshima United or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?

On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kagoshima United 53%.

How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?

Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 0–1 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?

Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.