Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.63Odds
2
Value bet: Akademiya Konoplev U20 to win @ 2.91 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAkademiya Konoplev U20 to win ✓40% · @2.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Fakel U19 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 1 May the Youth Championship brings Fakel U19 against Akademiya Konoplev U20. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, Fakel U19 are 16th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 29 matches; Akademiya Konoplev U20 are 7th (upper half) with 48. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fakel U19, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Moskva U19, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Akademiya Konoplev U20, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ural U20, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fakel U19 1.3 xG, Akademiya Konoplev U20 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel U19 35%, draw 24%, Akademiya Konoplev U20 40%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Akademiya Konoplev U20 to win @2.91 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.63). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel U19 1–1 Akademiya Konoplev U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fakel U1935%fair 2.83 · @2.11
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.42
Akademiya Konoplev U2040%fair 2.47 · @2.91
3.10Expected goals
1.35Fakel U19 xG
1.75Akademiya Konoplev U20 xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Fakel U19 1.3 – 1.8 Akademiya Konoplev U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akademiya Konoplev U20 to win✓
40%
2.47
2.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.40
Draw no bet
Akademiya Konoplev U20 (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Fakel U19 +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.63
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
First team to score
Akademiya Konoplev U20 to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akademiya Konoplev U20 / FT Akademiya Konoplev U20✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Fakel U19 – last 6
LLWLLL
24 Apr
@ Dinamo Moskva U19
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs Nizhny Novgorod U19
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ Almaz Antey U19
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Lokomotiv Moskva U19
2–4
L
20 Mar
@ Spartak Moskva U19
3–4
L
13 Mar
@ Dynamo Makhachkala U19
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Akademiya Konoplev U20 – last 6
LWLDLD
24 Apr
@ Ural U20
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs Dinamo Moskva U19
3–2
W
10 Apr
@ Zenit U19
0–3
L
3 Apr
vs Nizhny Novgorod U19
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Krasnodar U19
1–4
L
13 Mar
vs Almaz Antey U19
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel U19 and Akademiya Konoplev U20.
What is the prediction for Fakel U19 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win Fakel U19 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
On our numbers Fakel U19 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Akademiya Konoplev U20 40%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel U19 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel U19 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
Our predicted score is Fakel U19 1–1 Akademiya Konoplev U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Fakel U19 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20?
Fakel U19 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20 (Youth Championship) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
