Emelec 49%Draw 28%Guayaquil City FC 23%Expected goals 1.26 – 0.93
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultEmelec to win ✗49% · @1.80
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Saturday 18 April: Emelec v Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio George Capwell. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Emelec, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Aucas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Guayaquil City FC, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leones del Norte, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.3 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 49%, draw 28%, Guayaquil City FC 23%.
Lower-risk option: Emelec or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emelec49%fair 2.04 · @1.80
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.45
Guayaquil City FC23%fair 4.27 · @4.40
2.19Expected goals
1.26Emelec xG
0.93Guayaquil City FC xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.3 – 0.9 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emelec to win✗
49%
2.04
1.80
Double chance
Emelec or draw✗
77%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.00
Draw no bet
Emelec (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Guayaquil City FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
Emelec to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emelec / FT Emelec✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Emelec – last 6
LDLLWD
13 Apr
@ Aucas
0–2
L
9 Apr
@ Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guayaquil City FC – last 5
DWDLL
23 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Manta FC
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emelec and Guayaquil City FC.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Emelec have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Guayaquil City FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
