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Mushuc Runa SC v Tecnico Universitario: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
Sat 18 Apr 2026
Mushuc Runa SC 46%Draw 26%Tecnico Universitario 28% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.02
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultMushuc Runa SC to win46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.28

Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tecnico Universitario travel to face Mushuc Runa SC on Saturday 18 April in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Bellavista the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37.

Current form

Mushuc Runa SC, last 4: DWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Libertad, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Tecnico Universitario, last 4: WWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aucas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tecnico Universitario, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Mushuc Runa SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.4 xG, Tecnico Universitario 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 46%, draw 26%, Tecnico Universitario 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Tecnico Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mushuc Runa SC46%fair 2.17 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.25
Tecnico Universitario28%fair 3.58 · @3.75
2.41Expected goals
1.39Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.02Tecnico Universitario xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.4 – 1.0 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMushuc Runa SC to win46%2.172.00
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.821.95 ▲
Draw no betMushuc Runa SC (draw no bet)62%1.61–
Asian handicapTecnico Universitario +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.471.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.741.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.121.06
First team to scoreMushuc Runa SC to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mushuc Runa SC / FT Mushuc Runa SC27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.28–

Recent results

Mushuc Runa SC – last 4

DWLD
7 Apr@ Libertad2–2D
23 Marvs Emelec2–0W
19 Mar@ Orense SC2–3L
15 Marvs Macara0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tecnico Universitario – last 4

WWDD
19 Mar@ Aucas1–0W
13 Marvs Libertad2–1W
8 Mar@ Macara1–1D
28 Febvs Orense SC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Tecnico Universitario.

Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tecnico Universitario 28%.

How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.