Delfin SC 16%Draw 24%Independiente del Valle 60%Expected goals 0.74 – 1.71
84%
Betarazi pick
Independiente del Valle or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Independiente del Valle to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 22 April: Delfin SC v Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Jocay. In the table, Delfin SC are 14th on 38 points after 36 matches; Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84. There are 46 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Delfin SC, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Orense SC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Independiente del Valle, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over UCV, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Independiente del Valle, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Delfin SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Delfin SC 0.7 xG, Independiente del Valle 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Delfin SC 16%, draw 24%, Independiente del Valle 60%.
Lower-risk option: Independiente del Valle or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Independiente del Valle to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente del Valle or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Delfin SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Delfin SC16%fair 6.32 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.40
Independiente del Valle60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
2.44Expected goals
0.74Delfin SC xG
1.71Independiente del Valle xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Delfin SC 0.7 – 1.7 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.95
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Delfin SC – last 6
DWLLWD
19 Apr
@ Orense SC
0–0
D
11 Apr
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Macara
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Emelec
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 5
WDLWW
16 Apr
vs UCV
3–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rosario Central
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Emelec
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Manta FC
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Delfin SC and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Delfin SC have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente del Valle 60%.
How many goals will there be in Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Delfin SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
