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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Cuenca v Orense SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
1–3
FT
Deportivo Cuenca 44%Draw 27%Orense SC 29% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.02
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Cuenca welcome Orense SC to Alejandro Serrano Aguilar for a Liga Pro fixture on Wednesday 22 April (21:30 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Orense SC are 13th with 39.

Current form

Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to San Lorenzo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Orense SC, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Delfin SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.3 xG, Orense SC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 44%, draw 27%, Orense SC 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Orense SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Cuenca44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.30
Orense SC29%fair 3.47 · @3.70
2.31Expected goals
1.30Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.02Orense SC xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.3 – 1.0 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗44%2.272.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.91 ▲
Draw no betDeportivo Cuenca (draw no bet) ✗61%1.65–
Asian handicapOrense SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.271.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.07
First team to scoreDeportivo Cuenca to score first ✗50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

LWWLDW
17 Apr@ San Lorenzo0–2L
8 Aprvs Santos1–0W
5 Apr@ Emelec2–0W
17 Mar@ Universidad Catolica0–1L
14 Marvs Leones del Norte1–1D
8 Mar@ Aucas1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Orense SC – last 6

DWLWDL
19 Aprvs Delfin SC0–0D
12 Aprvs Libertad2–1W
24 Mar@ Aucas2–3L
19 Marvs Mushuc Runa SC3–2W
10 Marvs Manta FC1–1D
6 Marvs Macara0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC.

Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Orense SC 29%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.