Leones del Norte 55%Draw 26%Manta FC 19%Expected goals 1.40 – 0.78
81%
Betarazi pick
Leones del Norte or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✓55% · @1.90
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Leones del Norte vs Manta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones del Norte welcome Manta FC to Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra for a Liga Pro fixture on Wednesday 22 April (17:00 WAT). In the table, Leones del Norte are 9th on 47 points after 36 matches; Manta FC are 16th with 33. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Leones del Norte, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aucas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Manta FC, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to LDU de Quito, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leones del Norte, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Manta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones del Norte 1.4 xG, Manta FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones del Norte 55%, draw 26%, Manta FC 19%.
Lower-risk option: Leones del Norte or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Leones del Norte or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones del Norte 1–0 Manta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones del Norte55%fair 1.83 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
Manta FC19%fair 5.17 · @4.20
2.18Expected goals
1.40Leones del Norte xG
0.78Manta FC xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.4 – 0.8 Manta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones del Norte to win✓
55%
1.83
1.90
Double chance
Leones del Norte or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Leones del Norte (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Manta FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Leones del Norte to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leones del Norte / FT Leones del Norte✓
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Leones del Norte – last 6
LLWDLD
17 Apr
vs Aucas
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
23 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Manta FC – last 5
LLDLL
22 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
0–1
L
10 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
24 Feb
@ Libertad
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones del Norte and Manta FC.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
Our pick is Leones del Norte or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Manta FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–0 Manta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
Leones del Norte vs Manta FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
